Tuesday, 17 September 2013

Changes in the MLB Landscape, As Seen Through a Bettor's Eye

Some big things have happened in Major League Baseball in the last month. Some are obvious to even the casual sports fan like my wife (PED suspensions, for example.) Others take the trained eye of a beat writer or a professional gambler to catch. It's that gambling angle I want to discuss with you today.

Three of the Cubs' best players were sent to teams in the AL Playoff chase. As gamblers, we're not concerned with who makes the playoffs, but these moves do affect us. Matt Garza heading to Texas and Scott Feldman heading to Baltimore is going to add depth to the rotations of teams with lineups built to put up runs in bunches. These two guys will go deep in their games and keep them close. This not only makes the games in which they pitch winnable games, but the rest that each team's respective bullpen receives in games started by Garza and Feldman will bode well for games started by the back end of the rotations. Baltimore is just 4-4 in Feldman's starts so far, but the Rangers are 4-1 in games started by Garza since the trade. Alfonso Soriano has provided a similar shot in the arm to the New York Yankees lineup. His addition, along with that of Alex Rodriguez (which we'll discuss in more detail later), has been a big shot in the arm for the Yankees playoff chances. Soriano has 18 RBI in his last 13 games with the Yankees, and the team is averaging over 4.5 runs/game in those games.
Ryan Braun suspended for remainder of season for lying about PED's. The Milwaukee Brewers haven't been a contender all year, but as a statistically middle-of-the-road team and players like Braun and Rickie Weeks who could catch fire at anytime they're a hard team for any bettor to pick against. With Braun out of the lineup, that choice became much easier. We are 3-0 picking against the Brewers since the suspension came down.
Alex Rodriguez's potential suspension stayed until the end of the season. With Rodriguez in the lineup for protection, Robinson Cano and the newly acquired Alfonso Soriano have been able to flourish in the Yankees lineup. It didn't take long for Rodriguez to shake off the rust either as he is hitting.278 with 1 homerun and 4 RBI after just 9 games of big league action this year.
Sports betting is an art and a science, you have to understand the numbers and the narrative. When you are able to do that you can win lots of wagers, make a nice chunk of change, and have bragging rights over all your friends afraid to get in the game.
This information is vital to the picks we make everyday, but you won't make money the last two months of the season just riding the Yankees and Rangers or betting against the Milwaukee Brewers every night. Check out our record of success at http://www.monitorsportspicks.com. Follow me on twitter @9xhandiman or sign up to join or winning team by e-mailing9xhandiman@gmail.com.

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